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Who Will Win THE EMMYS

The Emmys are coming up again, just like they always do around this time. My they are looking pretty.

The nominations this year are all over the place, there are sure winners and categories that could go to just about anyone. So lets have a look at who to bet on, who should win, and you who you should be watching.

Here are the nominees.

I’ll mark BET, WIN, and WATCH.

BET: Who is actually going to win. The person/show you should bet on.
WIN: Who should actually win the award.
WATCH: Not necessarily a winner, but a show that you should be watching.
Alright then, let’s see what we have this year:

Outstanding Drama Series
BET-Boardwalk Empire
Friday Night Lights
WIN-Game of Thrones
The Good Wife
Mad Men

Mad Men has won for the past three years, it’s time for something new and while it certainly is a good show, we need to recognize the other fabulous shows that are on the air. I’m betting that Boardwalk Empire will win, it’s had a lot of praise this season and I think it fits with what past winners have had. I really think that Game of Thrones should win, but it’s only had one season and may be a bit too violent/sexual for the voters. You should definitely be watching Dexter, the new season starts soon and is sure to show a new side of Dexter that we haven’t seen yet.

Outstanding Comedy Series
BET/WIN- Big Bang Theory
Modern Family
The Office
WATCH-Parks and Recreation
30 Rock

Last year Modern Family won this, so I’m crossing it off the list. The three years before that 30 Rock won, and deservedly so. The Office won in 2006. This year I’m betting that Big Bang Theory wins. Great actors, great writing and it’s been around a while. I don’t know why Glee is in this category, sorry, I have issues with that show, I’ll try to put those away for now. I would have loved to see Community nominated because I think it’s fantastic and constantly makes me laugh. Last I checked that was the point of comedy. On this list you need to be watching Parks and Recreation, it’s consistently funnier than the office though it shares a similar format. Let’s move on

Outstanding Actress in a Drama
WATCH-Kathy Bates, Harry’s Law
Connie Britton, Friday Night Lights
Mireille Enos, The Killing
Mariska Hargitay, Law and Order: SVU
BET-Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
WIN-Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

This is a difficult category to guess, really any of them have a chance of winning, except for Kathy Bates, I say that because although she does play the role great, it’s not really dark and emotional enough for the Academy. Let’s move on, winner will be Julianna Margulies, Elisabeth Moss should win, and you should watch Kathy Bates in Harry’s Law.

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama
Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
WATCH-Margo Martindale, Justified
Michelle Forbes, The Killing
BET/WIN-Christina Hendricks, Mad Men

Bet, Win, and Watch all go to Christina Hendricks. She is good. NEXT CATEGORY!

Outstanding Actor in a Drama
BET-Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights
WIN-Michael C. Hall, Dexter
WATCH-John Hamm, Mad Men
Hugh Laurie, House
Timothy Olyphant, Justified

Probably the most difficult category there is the only one I can rule out is Kyle Chandler in Friday Night Lights, only because the competition is way over him. This is also tough because I like every show, time to make a choice. My bet is on Steve Buscemi for Boardwalk Empire. I think that Michael C. Hall should win for last seasons amazing performance in Dexter. Hugh Laurie deserves some critical praise for his work on House. And Justified was just a good show all around.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama
BET/WIN/WATCH-Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Josh Charles, The Good Wife
Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
Walton Goggins, Justified
John Slattery, Mad Men
Andrew Braugher, Men of a Certain Age

Peter Dinklage, Final Answer.

Outstanding Actress in a Comedy
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
BET-Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Laura Linney, The Big C
Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly
WATCH-Martha Plimpton, Raising Hope
WIN-Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

While I’d love to see Amy Poehler win, it’s more likely that Tina Fey will be chosen. Martha Plimpton is really funny in Raising Hope, but it doesn’t seem like the type of funny that the Academy looks for. They are a fairly predictable bunch.

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy
Jane Lynch, Glee
BET-Betty White, Hot In Cleveland
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
WIN-Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live
WATCH-Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock

This is the real question, will Jane Lynch win an award on the awards show she is hosting. Chances are high for her, but it’s very likely that Betty White will win with her name alone. For some reason people see her name and say she’s the best. It’s fantastic to see Kristen Wiig nominated, she is one of my personal favorites.

Outstanding Actor in a Comedy
WATCH-Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
WIN-Louis C.K., Louie
BET-Steve Carrell, The Office
Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

I honestly think that Louis C.K. has a chance at winning this. His actual acting on the show is very good, and as stand-up comedian on the show he is also very funny. His work can be dark sometimes, so that may work against him. Parsons won last year, and I think he’s funnier than Galecki on Big Bang Theory. Baldwin won in both 2008 and 2009. The award will go to Steve Carrell though. He has been nominated the past five years without a win and has left the show that he is nominated for.

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy (No bets)
WIN-Chris Colfer, Glee
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Ed O’Neill, Modern Family
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
WATCH-Jon Cryer, Two and a Half Men

It will be someone from Modern Family. I think Chris Colfer is the only good character on Glee and Jon Cryer was the best on 2.5 Men. Eric Stonestreet won last year in the same category, I doubt he will get a twofer since Jesse Tyler Ferguson and Ty Burrell were nominated last year as well. Honestly I don’t know who to bet on for this one. Skip it.

Outstanding Variety, Comedy Or Musical Series
WIN-The Colbert Report
BET-The Daily Show With Jon Stewart
WATCH-Late Night With Jimmy Fallon
Real Time With Bill Maher
Saturday Night Live

The Daily Show has won the past eight years. I don’t think that’s going to change this year. Personally I feel the Colbert is funnier, and Fallon is getting better with every episode.

Outstanding Reality Show
WATCH-The Amazing Race
American Idol
Dancing With the Stars
Project Runway
So You Think You Can Dance
BET/WIN-Top Chef

Really? This is a category now? sigh. Ummm…Top Chef? It seems like the only one with a little bit of class and decent look. We don’t really cover these shows on FOG!, Top Chef won last year, but Amazing Race is pretty good and has won the award since the category debuted in 2003

Outstanding TV Miniseries or Movie
WIN-Cinema Verite
Downton Abbey
The Kennedys
BET-Mildred Pierce
The Pillars of the Earth
WATCH-Too Big To Fail

It’s a tough choice on this one, I’m betting on Mildred Pierce. The critical praise for the miniseries is very high and it was very good. Too Big to Fail and Cinema Verite do have a chance. Pretty much I’ve concluded that an HBO show will win.

Outstanding Guest Actor In A Comedy
Idris Elba, The Big C
BET-Nathan Lane, Modern Family
Zach Galifianakis, Saturday Night Live
WATCH-Justin Timberlake, Saturday Night Live
WIN-Matt Damon, 30 Rock
Will Arnett, 30 Rock

Bet on Nathan Lane, he was good on the show. I really think Matt Damon should win for his spot on 30 Rock, he was excellent and showed some acting skill. Galifianakis was only OK on SNL, I think that Timberlake is very good though. I don’t really think that Idris Elba has a chance, that’s not to say he’s a bad actor though.

Outstanding Guest Actress In A Comedy
Kristin Chenoweth, Glee
Dot-Marie Jones, Glee
BET-Gwyneth Paltrow, Glee
WATCH-Cloris Leachman, Raising Hope
Tina Fey, Saturday Night Live
WIN-Elizabeth Banks, 30 Rock

Elizabeth Banks should really win for this, though I’m guessing that Gwyneth Paltrow will take the award. My dislike of Glee, I could write a weekly column on. Let’s move on once again.

Outstanding Leading Actress in a Mini-series or Movie
BET-Kate Winslet, Mildred Pierce
WATCH-Elizabeth McGovern, Downton Abbey
WIN-Diane Lane, Cinema Verite
Taraji P. Henson, Taken From Me: The Tiffany Rubin Story
Jean Marsh, Upstairs Downstairs

Kate Winslet for the win. Nobody else really had a chance, though I wouldn’t be surprised if the Academy does a “nobody will expect this” and have Taraji P. Henson win.

Outstanding Leading Actor in an Mini-Series or Movie
Greg Kinnear, The Kennedys
Barry Pepper, The Kennedys
Edgar Ramirez, Carlos
BET-William Hurt, Too Big To Fail
WIN-Idris Elba, Luther
WATCH-Laurence Fishburne, Thurgood

I was unaware that Luther was a mini-series or movie, considering it’s been commissioned for a third season. It’s a good show and Elba should be awarded for his part. I think it is likely that William Hurt will win for Too Big To Fail. HBO has a lot of hits this year, and they are certainly proud to mention their 104 Emmy nominations.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Mini-series or Movie
WATCH-Guy Pearce, Mildred Pierce
Bryan F. O’Byrne, Mildred Pierce
Tom Wilkinson, The Kennedys
BET-Paul Giamatti, Too Big to Fail
WIN-James Woods, Too Big to Fail

Most likely will go to Paul Giamatti, he was good in his role. Though the Mildred Pierce guys do have a chance at winning with the acclaim that the mini-series has.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Mini-series or Movie
WIN-Evan Rachel Wood, Mildred Pierce
BET-Melissa Leo, Mildred Pierce
Mare Winningham, Mildred Pierce
WATCH-Maggie Smith, Downtown Abbey
Eileen Atkins, Upstairs Downstairs

Really I don’t care, probably Melissa Leo for Mildred Pierce. Honestly anyone could take this category.

So that’s what I think. Did I get it right or am I completely off. Tell me in the comments, maybe I’ll give away something if your correct prediction are more than mine. Who knows?

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